Why Invading Iran Could Become America's Biggest Military Mistake
Qatar Offers Lebanon 2 Gas Plants and 20 Years of LNG Piped Through Syria Colombia’s largely untapped critical mineral… James D.
Durso is the Managing Director of Corsair LLC, a supply chain consultancy.
In 2013 to2015, he was the Chief Executive Officer of AKM… The ghosts of Baghdad and Kabul should be enough to silence any talk of sending American troops into Iran.
Yet here we are, more than seven months into a war that began on 28 February with U.S.-Israeli strikes thatkilled Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, and voices in Washington and Tel Aviv are again whispering that only boots on the ground can finish the job.
Plans toseize Kharg Island, Iran’s main oil export terminal, or push inland to seize Iran’s enriched uranium have circulated since March.
An invasion would be a strategic catastrophe, a moral failure, and a self-inflicted wound from which America might never recover.
It is four times larger, with 90 million people, a professional military hardened by decades of sanctions and asymmetric warfare, and terrain from the Zagros Mountains to vast deserts perfectly suited for guerrilla warfare against invaders.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps prepared for this: mines, drone swarms, missile barrages on Gulf infrastructure, and allies from Hezbollah to the Houthis.
ThePentagon’s wargameshave shown that attacking Iran would fail, requiring hundreds of thousands of troops, years of occupation, and casualties dwarfing the post-9/11 wars.
This year’s air and naval campaign has proved the point.
After 11,000 strikes in five weeks, aleaked intelligence assessmentfound Iran still held roughly 70 percent of its missiles and launchers.
Iran then closed the Strait of Hormuz and claimed sovereignty over it.
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